The South as soon as performed a key function in serving to Democrats maintain and preserve congressional majorities for a lot of the 20th century — thanks in no small half to the celebration’s segregationist leaning.
Then, within the early 1990s, the shift of the so-called “stable South” from Democratic to Republican was the gas for the GOP’s 1994 Home takeover and has continued to help the features the celebration has made within the Senate over the previous twenty years.
Now, the South is poised to once more shift the stability of political energy — though it isn’t completely clear which celebration is positioned to reap the advantages.
What that Southern inhabitants growth means in uncooked political phrases is that this: extra congressional districts. And with extra congressional districts comes not simply extra voting energy within the Home but in addition extra electoral votes to provide out in future presidential races.
What the census numbers launched this week counsel is that the South is in the midst of a inhabitants spurt, not on the finish of it. Which suggests much more potential seat features come the 2030 census.
The query of which facet advantages from all of this elevated political energy is a tough one. Whereas the South stays a Republican stronghold — notably on the federal stage — the expansion of minority communities in states like Georgia and Texas has already made them aggressive on the presidential stage for Democrats.
Whereas the so-called Deep South — Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi, and so on. — should be off-limits to Democrats, there are indicators of Republican slippage virtually in all places else within the area.
The Level: The South has all the time mattered in American politics. Nevertheless it’s about to matter much more over the following decade.